Oscar Predictions 2015
Oscar Predictions 2015
The Envelope Please:
Who Will Win, Who Deserves to
Win, Who Was Snubbed
by Kam Williams
While Selma’s
Academy Awards stock plummeted in the wake of allegations of historical
inaccuracies, that of American Sniper simultaneously skyrocketed, thanks to
both booming box-office returns and very positive word of mouth.
However, Sniper probably had too much ground to make up to catch Birdman, the early
favorite in the Best Picture sweepstakes.
I see
Birdman garnering 4 awards overall, followed by The Grand Budapest Hotel, with
3. The only other multiple winners will likely be Boyhood, Whiplash and The
Theory of Everything, at 2 each.
Faithful
readers will remember that a year ago, yours truly accurately predicted the
results in 21 of 21 categories (I skipped the short films), so anyone who used
my picks in their office pool fared pretty well. However, past performance is
no guarantee of future results.
Besides
forecasting the winners below, I also suggest which nominees are the most
deserving. Furthermore, because some great performances are invariably
overlooked by the Academy entirely, I also point out those who should’ve been
nominated.
The 87th
Academy Awards will air live on ABC this Sunday, February 22nd at
8:30 PM ET/5:30 PM PT, and will be hosted by Neil Patrick Harris.
Best
Picture
Will Win:
Birdman
Deserves
to Win: Selma
Overlooked:
Nightcrawler
Best
Director
Will Win:
Alejandro González Iñárritu (Birdman)
Deserves
to Win: Ava Duvernay (Selma)
Overlooked: Damien Chazelle
(Whiplash)
Best
Actor
Will Win:
Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything)
Deserves
to Win: Michael Keaton (Birdman)
Overlooked: Jake Gyllenhaal
(Nightcrawler)
Best
Actress
Will Win:
Julianne Moore (Still Alice)
Deserves
to Win: Marion Cotillard (Two Days, One Night)
Overlooked:
Jennifer Aniston (Cake)
Best
Supporting Actor
Will Win:
J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)
Deserves
to Win: J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)
Overlooked:
Rick Garcia (Nightcrawler)
Best
Supporting Actress
Will Win:
Patricia Arquette (Boyhood)
Deserves
to Win: Emma Stone (Birdman)
Overlooked:
Jessica Chastain (A Most Violent Year)
Best
Original Screenplay:
Will Win:
Alejandro G.
Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Jr. and Armando Bo (Birdman)
Deserves
to Win: Dan Gilroy (Nightcrawler)
Overlooked:
Paul Webb (Selma)
Best
Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win:
Graham Moore (The Imitation Game)
Deserves
to Win: Damien Chazelle (Whiplash)
Overlooked:
Peter Landesman, Gary Webb and Nick Schou (Kill the Messenger)
Predictions
for Secondary Categories
Animated
Feature: How to Train Your Dragon 2
Foreign
Language Film: Ida
Documentary
Feature: Citizenfour
Cinematography:
Birdman
Costume
Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Production
Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Film
Editing: Boyhood
Makeup
and Hairstyling: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Original
Score: The Theory of Everything
Best
Song: Glory (Selma)
Sound
Editing: American Sniper
Sound
Mixing: Whiplash
Visual
Effects: Interstellar
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